State refund odds · 8,930 complaintsData pulled 19 October 2026

Where you live changes your odds of getting scam money back. Mostly because of who holds the money.

We took every complaint filed with the federal Consumer Financial Protection Bureau between 1 January 2026 and 30 September 2026 where the consumer chose the issue “Fraud or scam”, 8,930 of them, and read how each closed. Nationally, 7.6% ended with money. By state, the share runs from 4.1% in Indiana to 13.2% in Massachusetts. Most of that gap comes down to which companies people in each state were dealing with.

7.6%
Closed with money, nationally
4.1%
Lowest: Indiana
13.2%
Highest: Massachusetts
0 of 2,210
Cash App complaints closed with money
The short answer

In the federal record for 2026, 7.6% of scam complaints closed with money. Massachusetts came out highest at 13.2% and Indiana lowest at 4.1%. The biggest single factor is the company, not the state: Block (Cash App) closed none of its 2,210 scam complaints with money, PayPal 27.1%. Apply each company’s national rate to a state’s own mix of complaints and you predict most states to within a point or two.

· The ranking ·

23 states, ranked by how often a scam complaint ended with money

Each bar is the share of a state’s closed scam complaints that ended with monetary relief. The thin navy line is what the state would have scored if every company had paid out at its own national rate on that state’s actual mix of complaints. Only states with at least 100 closed complaints are ranked; every state is listed further down.

actual ratepredicted by company mixscale 0 to 15%
Indiana
Cash App 35.4%
4.1%
Missouri
Cash App 34.6%
5.3%
North Carolina
Cash App 41.5%
5.3%
Georgia
Cash App 38.2%
5.5%
South Carolina
Cash App 34.9%
5.7%
Nevada
Cash App 28.7%
5.8%
Illinois
Cash App 22.0%
6.2%
Pennsylvania
Cash App 25.1%
6.2%
Michigan
Cash App 28.3%
6.7%
Texas
Cash App 28.9%
6.8%
Alabama
Cash App 40.4%
6.9%
Maryland
Cash App 34.5%
7.0%
Tennessee
Cash App 33.5%
7.1%
Florida
Cash App 20.1%
7.7%
New York
Cash App 16.6%
7.8%
Virginia
Cash App 29.0%
8.2%
Ohio
Cash App 30.4%
8.5%
California
Cash App 15.2%
8.6%
Arizona
Cash App 21.1%
8.8%
Colorado
Cash App 18.6%
9.9%
Washington
Cash App 20.9%
10.9%
New Jersey
Cash App 12.5%
12.7%
Massachusetts
Cash App 14.6%
13.2%
Scam refund odds by state, January to September 2026: 23 states ranked by the share of federal scam complaints closed with monetary relief, from Indiana at 4.1% to Massachusetts at 13.2%, each marked against the rate its company mix predicts.
Scam refund odds by state, 1 January 2026 to 30 September 2026. Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with attribution to Tutela Digitalis.
· Why ·

The same complaint, sent to different companies, ends differently

The companies with at least 100 closed scam complaints in this period sit far apart. 3 closed none with money: Block (Cash App) (2,210 closed), Early Warning Services, which operates the Zelle network (232), and Western Union (124). At the other end, PayPal closed 27.1% with money and Bank of America 18.1%. Each company picks its own closing label: Block closed all 2,210 of its scam complaints here as “Closed with explanation”, the label it uses for almost every complaint it receives. Some refunds may be recorded under “explanation”, and the public record cannot show that, so a zero means none recorded as monetary relief.

PayPal27.1% (346 of 1,276)
Coinbase22.0% (38 of 173)
Bank of America18.1% (95 of 524)
Navy Federal Credit Union6.8% (9 of 133)
Citibank5.5% (7 of 128)
JPMorgan Chase5.1% (34 of 670)
Wells Fargo4.4% (31 of 703)
Capital One3.3% (4 of 121)
Chime1.8% (11 of 614)
Block (Cash App)0.0% (0 of 2,210)
Early Warning Services (Zelle network operator)0.0% (0 of 232)
Western Union0.0% (0 of 124)

Read every line as what happened to people who escalated to a federal regulator, not as a company’s refund rate. Anyone refunded at first contact never appears here. And a zero can mean a company that holds no account, like a network operator, is structurally unable to pay rather than unwilling; this data cannot tell those apart.

· The test ·

We tested the obvious explanation. Half of it was wrong.

The tempting story is that states with lots of Cash App complaints simply score lower. The correlation is real (r = -0.75 across the 23 states), but it is partly arithmetic: a company that closes every complaint without money pulls any state’s average down. So we removed Cash App complaints and ranked the states again.

4.1% to 13.2%
Range across states, all complaints
6.6% to 15.6%
Range with Cash App complaints removed

Every state moves up, but the gap between them barely shrinks. It is not just Cash App. What does predict a state’s rate is its whole mix of companies. Give every company its own national payout rate, apply it to each state’s actual complaints, and the prediction tracks reality closely (r = 0.82); the mix accounts for roughly 65% of the differences between states. The rest is unexplained here, and we are not going to guess at it.

· North Carolina ·

North Carolina: 5.3%, and almost exactly what its mix predicts

18 of North Carolina’s 342 closed scam complaints ended with money, 5.3%, tied with Missouri for second lowest of the 23 ranked states. 41.5% of the state’s scam complaints named Block, the company behind Cash App, one of the highest shares in the country. The company-mix prediction for North Carolina is 5.2%. In other words, the state’s low rate is what you would expect from who its residents were dealing with, not from anything about North Carolina itself.

For context, and without drawing a connection the data cannot support: on 8 July 2026 North Carolina’s attorney general announced a settlement with Block resolving allegations that it misrepresented Cash App’s safety (NC Department of Justice). The complaints counted here run from January to September 2026.

· If it happened to you ·

What these numbers mean for you

  1. Call your bank or the app the same day. The first contact is where most refunds happen, and none of those appear in this data.
  2. Escalate to the institution that holds your money, not the network your payment travelled on. Complaints aimed at the Zelle network operator produced no relief at all, in this data and in our Complaint Outcome Index.
  3. How you paid matters more than where you live. Card payments carry chargeback rights that a transfer you authorised yourself usually does not; our refund checker walks through your options by payment type.
  4. A federal complaint is free at consumerfinance.gov/complaint. It is a second step, after the company has had its chance.
  5. Never pay anyone to recover the money. Fee-first recovery offers are the second scam that follows the first.
· Look up your state ·

Every state, in one line each

Alabama
9 of 131 closed scam complaints ended with money (6.9%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 40.4%; the company-mix prediction is 5.2%.
Alaska
19 scam complaints, 19 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Arizona
14 of 159 closed scam complaints ended with money (8.8%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 21.1%; the company-mix prediction is 7.0%.
Arkansas
82 scam complaints, 78 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Armed Forces Americas
1 scam complaint, 1 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Armed Forces Europe
3 scam complaints, 3 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Armed Forces Pacific
2 scam complaints, 2 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
California
96 of 1118 closed scam complaints ended with money (8.6%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 15.2%; the company-mix prediction is 8.2%.
Colorado
14 of 142 closed scam complaints ended with money (9.9%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 18.6%; the company-mix prediction is 8.2%.
Connecticut
92 scam complaints, 89 closed, 14 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Delaware
29 scam complaints, 29 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
District of Columbia
28 scam complaints, 27 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Florida
65 of 844 closed scam complaints ended with money (7.7%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 20.1%; the company-mix prediction is 8.1%.
Georgia
21 of 382 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.5%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 38.2%; the company-mix prediction is 5.7%.
Guam
1 scam complaint, 1 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Hawaii
28 scam complaints, 27 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Idaho
45 scam complaints, 42 closed, 1 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Illinois
19 of 305 closed scam complaints ended with money (6.2%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 22.0%; the company-mix prediction is 7.1%.
Indiana
5 of 121 closed scam complaints ended with money (4.1%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 35.4%; the company-mix prediction is 6.4%.
Iowa
38 scam complaints, 37 closed, 4 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Kansas
62 scam complaints, 60 closed, 2 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Kentucky
67 scam complaints, 64 closed, 5 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Louisiana
100 scam complaints, 99 closed, 8 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Maine
17 scam complaints, 15 closed, 1 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Maryland
15 of 215 closed scam complaints ended with money (7.0%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 34.5%; the company-mix prediction is 7.8%.
Massachusetts
20 of 151 closed scam complaints ended with money (13.2%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 14.6%; the company-mix prediction is 11.2%.
Michigan
12 of 178 closed scam complaints ended with money (6.7%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 28.3%; the company-mix prediction is 6.6%.
Minnesota
101 scam complaints, 96 closed, 7 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Mississippi
61 scam complaints, 59 closed, 1 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Missouri
8 of 152 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.3%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 34.6%; the company-mix prediction is 7.0%.
Montana
18 scam complaints, 18 closed, 2 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Nebraska
30 scam complaints, 29 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Nevada
6 of 103 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.8%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 28.7%; the company-mix prediction is 6.0%.
New Hampshire
15 scam complaints, 14 closed, 4 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
New Jersey
32 of 252 closed scam complaints ended with money (12.7%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 12.5%; the company-mix prediction is 9.9%.
New Mexico
29 scam complaints, 28 closed, 2 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
New York
47 of 602 closed scam complaints ended with money (7.8%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 16.6%; the company-mix prediction is 7.7%.
North Carolina
18 of 342 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.3%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 41.5%; the company-mix prediction is 5.2%.
North Dakota
7 scam complaints, 7 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Ohio
17 of 200 closed scam complaints ended with money (8.5%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 30.4%; the company-mix prediction is 6.1%.
Oklahoma
81 scam complaints, 78 closed, 6 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Oregon
83 scam complaints, 80 closed, 9 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Pennsylvania
18 of 288 closed scam complaints ended with money (6.2%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 25.1%; the company-mix prediction is 7.7%.
Puerto Rico
16 scam complaints, 16 closed, 4 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Rhode Island
21 scam complaints, 20 closed, 2 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
South Carolina
8 of 141 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.7%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 34.9%; the company-mix prediction is 5.8%.
South Dakota
5 scam complaints, 5 closed, 2 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Tennessee
12 of 170 closed scam complaints ended with money (7.1%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 33.5%; the company-mix prediction is 7.1%.
Texas
54 of 791 closed scam complaints ended with money (6.8%), below the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 28.9%; the company-mix prediction is 6.9%.
U.S. Virgin Islands
1 scam complaint, 1 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Utah
53 scam complaints, 52 closed, 3 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Vermont
8 scam complaints, 7 closed, 1 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Virginia
19 of 231 closed scam complaints ended with money (8.2%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 29.0%; the company-mix prediction is 6.3%.
Washington
20 of 184 closed scam complaints ended with money (10.9%), above the 7.6% national figure. Cash App was named in 20.9%; the company-mix prediction is 10.1%.
West Virginia
28 scam complaints, 27 closed, 0 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Wisconsin
82 scam complaints, 80 closed, 7 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
Wyoming
12 scam complaints, 12 closed, 1 with money. Too few to rank reliably.
· Read it carefully ·

What this data can and cannot tell you

Since 14 August 2026 the CFPB no longer publishes complaint narratives. The Bureau said they were one-sided and could mislead; consumer advocates and reporters, including ProPublica, have described the change as a loss for accountability. The structured fields used here are still published, which is why this count can be repeated by anyone.

We offered Block, Early Warning Services and Western Union the chance to comment on these figures on 19 October 2026. Early Warning replied the same day with a statement attributed to a Zelle spokesperson, which did not dispute any figure. “We don’t hold a user’s money or manage their bank or credit union accounts,” the spokesperson said, adding that consumers who suspect fraud or a scam “should immediately contact their financial institution, as they are required by law to investigate all fraud claims.” We then asked how a complaint that names Early Warning is handled, and whether Zelle’s network rules require banks to reimburse any kind of scam. Early Warning referred us to Zelle’s published Fast Facts page and fact sheets. Those say participating banks must fully reimburse confirmed fraud and must reimburse “certain qualifying imposter scams where the customer authorized the transaction,” without saying which scams qualify, and they do not say how a complaint naming Early Warning is recorded. Zelle’s fact sheet also tells consumers that once they approve a payment, the money “is often unrecoverable.” Block replied before the deadline but asked that its comments not be quoted. Western Union had not replied by the 21 October deadline.

Method, data and how to cite

Source: the CFPB Consumer Complaint Database public API, issue “Fraud or scam”, received 2026-01-01 to 2026-09-30, pulled 19 October 2026. 8,930 complaints, 8,629 closed, 653 closed with monetary relief. The relief rate is closed with monetary relief divided by all closed complaints. “Cash App” means complaints naming Block, Inc. The company-mix prediction applies each company’s national rate to the state’s own complaints; companies outside the 25 largest share one residual rate. This is a different population from our Complaint Outcome Index, which counted complaints whose narrative used the word scam, so its numbers differ.

Free to cite and reuse under CC BY 4.0. Download the full table: scam-refund-odds-by-state CSV.

Suggested citation: Tutela Digitalis (2026). Scam Refund Odds by State, January to September 2026 [Data set]. https://www.tuteladigitalis.com/scam-refund-odds-by-state

Need a state’s figures, a correction, or a quote? Email press@tuteladigitalis.com. We publish corrections.

Common questions

Which state gets scam money back most often?

Among the 23 states with at least 100 closed complaints, Massachusetts had the highest share of scam complaints closed with monetary relief in the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s record, 13.2%, and Indiana the lowest, 4.1%. The national figure was 7.6%. These are complaints that reached a federal regulator after the company had been contacted, January to September 2026, so the figures describe escalated cases, not every scam.

Why is North Carolina’s scam refund rate so low?

In North Carolina, 18 of 342 closed scam complaints ended with money (5.3%). 41.5% of the state’s scam complaints named Block, the company behind Cash App, which closed none of its 2,210 with monetary relief nationally. If every company had paid out at its national rate on North Carolina’s actual mix of complaints, the state would have come out at 5.2%. Its low rate is almost exactly what its mix of companies predicts.

Does Cash App refund scam victims?

In the CFPB’s record for January to September 2026, Block, Inc., which operates Cash App, received 2,229 complaints where the consumer chose “Fraud or scam”. It closed 2,210 with an explanation, 19 were still in progress, and none was closed with monetary relief. That is the regulator’s record of escalated complaints, not a statement about every Cash App dispute.

Is it Cash App that makes some states worse?

Only in part. Removing Cash App complaints lifts every ranked state by a few points, but the gap between states survives: without them the range is 6.6% to 15.6%. What predicts a state’s rate is its whole mix of companies, from PayPal at 27.1% to 3 companies at zero. That mix explains roughly 65% of the differences between states.

How can I check these numbers myself?

Every figure comes from the CFPB Consumer Complaint Database public API. Filter to the issue “Fraud or scam”, received 1 January to 30 September 2026, then group by state and by company response. Our pull ran on 19 October 2026. Late complaints keep publishing, so a later pull will differ slightly. The full table is free to download as a CSV.

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